Ardagh Metal Packaging downgraded to underperform by BofA

Apr 2, 2024 12:43 am | News

On Monday, BofA Securities adjusted its stance on Ardagh Metal Packaging (NYSE:) S.A. (NYSE:AMBP), downgrading the stock from Neutral to Underperform and reducing the price target to $3.50 from the previous $4.10. The firm cited potential restructuring at parent company Ardagh Group S.A. and Ardagh Metal Packaging’s modest cash flow as reasons for the downgrade and price target adjustment.

The analyst from BofA Securities indicated that the revision was influenced by the likelihood of refinancing AMBP preferred shares as debt. This financial maneuver is anticipated by BofA’s fixed income research team and has been factored into the revised price objective for the company’s shares.

The updated price target of $3.50 reflects a decrease from the former target of $4.10. This change is part of a broader assessment of the company’s financial performance and market position. BofA Securities has reviewed its coverage, focusing on relative return and catalysts across its distribution, leading to the conclusion that a downgrade to Underperform is warranted for AMBP.

The analyst’s commentary highlighted concerns about Ardagh Metal Packaging’s ability to generate strong cash flow, which is a critical factor in the firm’s decision to lower the investment rating. The potential restructuring at Ardagh Group S.A. also plays a significant role in this assessment, as it could impact AMBP’s financial strategies and market outlook.

In summary, BofA Securities has taken a more cautious view of Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A., suggesting that investors may expect lower performance relative to the market. The revised price target and downgrade to Underperform reflect the firm’s current analysis of the stock’s potential and its place within the broader industry distribution.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of BofA Securities’ recent downgrade of Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (NYSE:AMBP), InvestingPro data and tips offer additional context for investors considering the stock.

With a market capitalization of approximately $2.01 billion, the company’s valuation reflects challenges, as indicated by a negative P/E ratio of -27.74 and an adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q4 2023 at -121.65. This underscores the firm’s current lack of profitability, which aligns with BofA’s concerns about cash flow generation.

Still, an InvestingPro Tip suggests that net income is expected to grow this year, providing a potential silver lining for investors. Another point for investors to consider is the significant dividend yield of 11.66%, which might appeal to income-focused portfolios. Yet, it’s important to note that two analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, indicating potential headwinds.

For those looking to delve deeper into AMBP’s financials and future prospects, InvestingPro offers additional insights. There are 8 more InvestingPro Tips available for AMBP, which can be accessed by visiting To enhance your investment analysis, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

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