Comcast stock price target cut by Deutsche Bank, maintains buy rating

Apr 2, 2024 3:25 am | News

On Monday, Deutsche Bank adjusted its outlook on Comcast Corporation (NASDAQ:), reducing the company’s price target from $55.00 to $53.00 while reaffirming a Buy rating on the stock. The revision reflects updated financial models that incorporate lower forecasts for EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) and FCF (Free Cash Flow).

The analyst from Deutsche Bank cited several factors contributing to the downward revision. These include persistent challenges in broadband volume due to increased competition from fiber and Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) services, high market penetration rates, reduced homeowner mobility, the end of the Affordable Connectivity Program (ACP), and Comcast’s strategy to prioritize Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) growth over discounting tactics aimed at retaining price-sensitive customers.

Despite these headwinds, the report highlighted some positive aspects of Comcast’s business. The company’s Parks segment continues to be a solid growth driver, even in the face of short-term foreign exchange headwinds and challenging comparisons with the first quarter of 2023.

Furthermore, Peacock, Comcast’s streaming service, is on a growth trajectory, gaining more subscribers and moving towards profitability. However, the analyst noted ongoing secular challenges in the linear television market, despite some improvements in TV advertising.

The analysis concluded with a valuation perspective, noting that Comcast’s stock is currently trading at a relatively low multiple. The company’s valuation stands at 6.3 times its projected 2024 EV/EBITDA, with a 6.7% yield on its expected 2024 Unlevered Free Cash Flow (UFCF) and a multiple of 10 times its projected 2024 Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS).

InvestingPro Insights

Comcast Corporation’s (NASDAQ:CMCSA) financial stability and shareholder value strategies are reflected in the latest real-time data and InvestingPro Tips. With a market capitalization of $172.18 billion and a robust P/E ratio of 11.61, the company presents a compelling investment case. The adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q4 2023 stands at an even more attractive 11.12.

Moreover, Comcast’s revenue growth for the same period shows a steady increase of 0.12%, with a quarterly uptick of 2.29%, underscoring the company’s ability to generate incremental income amidst a competitive landscape.

In terms of shareholder returns, Comcast has raised its dividend for 4 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to consistent shareholder payouts. This is further substantiated by a significant dividend yield of 2.86% and a dividend growth of 14.81% over the last twelve months.

The management’s strategic decision-making is evident through aggressive share buybacks and a high shareholder yield, positioning the company as a prominent player in the media industry with a history of maintaining dividend payments for 17 consecutive years.

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